Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000254 0.000285 0.000318 0.000357 0.000400 0.000448 0.000505
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000193 0.000236 0.000286 0.000350 0.000429 0.000525 0.000650
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000159 0.000207 0.000267 0.000349 0.000458 0.000600 0.000800
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000134 0.000183 0.000248 0.000342 0.000474 0.000657 0.000930
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000119 0.000170 0.000240 0.000346 0.000504 0.000733 0.001096
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000107 0.000158 0.000232 0.000349 0.000530 0.000806 0.001265
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000093 0.000141 0.000214 0.000333 0.000526 0.000831 0.001362
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000085 0.000133 0.000208 0.000335 0.000548 0.000899 0.001536
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000081 0.000130 0.000210 0.000349 0.000592 0.001008 0.001795
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000073 0.000121 0.000200 0.000342 0.000598 0.001051 0.001942
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000110 0.000185 0.000326 0.000586 0.001060 0.002025
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000061 0.000105 0.000182 0.000329 0.000609 0.001137 0.002248
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000104 0.000185 0.000344 0.000657 0.001268 0.002608
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000097 0.000178 0.000338 0.000666 0.001325 0.002823
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000093 0.000173 0.000338 0.000683 0.001402 0.003095
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000087 0.000165 0.000331 0.000687 0.001452 0.003312
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000084 0.000163 0.000335 0.000715 0.001555 0.003672
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000081 0.000161 0.000338 0.000740 0.001656 0.004042
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000037 0.000074 0.000150 0.000323 0.000723 0.001658 0.004166
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000035 0.000072 0.000148 0.000324 0.000745 0.001754 0.004549
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000034 0.000072 0.000151 0.000338 0.000798 0.001934 0.005188
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000032 0.000068 0.000145 0.000331 0.000799 0.001982 0.005472
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000029 0.000062 0.000136 0.000316 0.000775 0.001966 0.005566